Monday, March 05, 2012

The BBK seeks insurance against EMU break-up

The Bundesbank has no right at all to be baffled - FT.com:
"It also tells us something else: by seeking insurance against a collapse of the euro, the Bundesbank tells us it no longer regards the demise of the euro as a zero-probability event. If the Bundesbank seeks insurance, so should everybody else."


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Wednesday, February 15, 2012

Are Credit Ratings Massively Overrated? | Economics Intelligence

The informational content of credit rating agencies seems to be minimal - worse than a simple indicator that can be constructed.

Are Credit Ratings Massively Overrated? | Economics Intelligence:
"Hilscher and Wilson reply that they do not claim that ratings have no informational content whatsoever. Having a S&P rating was certainly better than no information at all, stresses Hilscher"


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Sunday, January 08, 2012

Do hedge funds offer value for their fees? No - FT.com

Not surprising if the absolute returns are from finding inefficiencies. Given an absolute amount of inefficiencies, these are shared over more funds.

Do hedge funds offer value for their fees? No - FT.com:
"Just as individual hedge funds tend to do better when they are small, so too, his analysis shows, the industry as a whole performed better when it was a largely unknown $200bn business, rather than the high profile $1.9tn industry it had grown to become, before the financial crisis in 2008 so dramatically exposed some of its shortcomings. The comforting compounded rates of return reported in hedge fund indices give a misleading impression of the actual cash returns achieved by hedge fund investors. Most of the client money that has flowed in since the industry began to be institutionalised has not achieved anything like the returns the long-term headline index figures suggest.
"

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Monday, January 02, 2012

Delete rows from R data frame « Heuristic Andrew

Use for getting rid of rows of data where there is no response. For instance, the missing values in a large dataframe can be removed in this way with simplicity.

Delete rows from R data frame « Heuristic Andrew:

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Saturday, December 24, 2011

Friedman and Krugman

New Frontiers in Economic Barbarism - NYTimes.com: "Quite. What Matt may not know, however, is that this is a classic argument in international macro, and the person who made it best was …. drumroll … Milton Friedman. Here’s a snip from Friedman’s 1953 essay “The case for flexible exchange rates”:


Is it really possible that people at the University of Chicago have unlearned not only Keynes but Friedman? Alas, yes."

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Saturday, November 19, 2011

Why Only Germany Can Fix the Euro | Foreign Affairs

At the heart of the Euro area crisis.

Why Only Germany Can Fix the Euro | Foreign Affairs:
" According to Eurostat, Germany's trade surplus with the rest of the EU grew from 46.4 billion euro in 2000 to 126.5 billion in 2007. The evolution of Germany's bilateral trade surpluses with the Mediterranean countries is especially revealing. Between 2000 and 2007, Greece's annual trade deficit with Germany grew from 3 billion euro to 5.5 billion, Italy's doubled, from 9.6 billion to 19.6 billion, Spain's almost tripled, from 11 billion to 27.2 billion, and Portugal's quadrupled, from 1 billion to 4.2 billion. Between 2001 and 2009, moreover, Germany saw its final total consumption fall from 78.5 percent of GDP to 74.5 percent. Its gross savings rate increased from less than 19 percent of GDP to almost 26 percent over the same period."

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