Saturday, August 12, 2006

ERP

Lex on the equity risk premium.

There has been little change since 9/11, but...

FT.com / Lex - Catastrophe and equities:
"Yet there is an opposite and gloomier conclusion. America’s 20th century experience was exceptional. In most countries, war risks include the collapse of governments and property rights, not just recession. In such circumstances the price of “risk free” assets plummets along with everything else. This outcome is hard to imagine for the US. Still, for professional doom-mongers, the rise in real yields from post-9/11 lows suggests that what was once viewed as a manageable catastrophe is now thought to herald a new era of existential threats."

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