Thursday, January 09, 2014

What's That You're Calling a Bubble? - Justin Fox - Harvard Business Review

What's That You're Calling a Bubble? - Justin Fox - Harvard Business Review:

"So maybe we should tweak the second sentence of Brunnermaier’s definition, to something like: Bubbles arise if the price far exceeds the asset’s fundamental value, to the point that no plausible future income scenario can justify the price. A little clunky, and of course “plausible” is a judgment call. But it does get at the idea that we shouldn’t be calling every last rise in P/E ratios a bubble."

The bubble in bubbles and the difficulty of calling bubbles before the event relative to how easy it is after the event.

No comments: