Saturday, May 06, 2006

Tim Harford looks at risk and insurance and points out that it would make much more sense for most of us to bare small risks ourselves. Risky business:
"Few of us see risks that way. Matthew Rabin and Richard Thaler pointed out in 2001, in a paper that surprised even their fellow economists, that anyone who pays even slightly more than the fair premium to escape from a risk on a £50 phone or a 1900 insurance deductible must be making a mistake. The stakes are too tiny: in the context of a £1m lifetime income, even 1900 is a small enough risk to swallow."


Meanwhile, Stefan Dercon from Oxford looks at the way that a lack of insurance can prevent Etheopian farmers borrowing to buy fertiliser. The downside risk here is imprisonment for non-repayment.

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